Campaign data intelligence for Kenya's 2027 elections · One client per ward
Voter intelligence Ground data Poll Operations

Every vote is cast in one room.

Not on Facebook. Not at the rally. In a polling station — one classroom, one tent, one queue of no more than 700 voters. We build the electoral data network that shows your campaign which rooms decide the race, and what to do about them.

For aspirants, parties and electoral service providers · Surveys + public records only

55,393polling stations planned for 2027
46,229stations in the 2022 election
700voters max per station — Elections Act
34Aone results form per station

The model — in plain language

Whoever reads the rooms,
wins the election.

Instead of spreading a campaign budget thinly across a whole ward, we rank every station in your ward — stronghold, swing or weak — then put a named captain, a supporters list and a live data feed on the handful of rooms that actually decide the result. Resource planning in its simplest form: put people, money and message where they move votes.

01

The IEBC already plans per station

One kit, one team, one Form 34A per room. Campaigns that plan on the same unit stay in step with how the election is actually administered.

02

The swing rooms are findable

2017 and 2022 results are public, station by station. Where the margin moved last time is where it can move again.

03

700 voters is knowable

One captain, one Agentic cluster, one supporters list per station — ground organisation at a scale a human can actually run.

04

Wards are decided by a handful of stations

In most wards, a minority of stations carry the winning margin. The model finds them before your opponent does.

What your campaign sees

One dashboard, three views of the race.

The same evidence discipline behind Kenya's public election dashboards — pointed at your race. Pick a view to preview it below.

Where your votes are Sample Ward A · Updated 06:00 EAT · Illustrative data
Registered voters24,86018 polling stations
Supporters mapped6,214▲ +812 this week
Persuadables — swing4,120undecided / movable voters
Target votes to win9,80052% of expected turnout

Registered voters vs mapped supporters — by station type

Stronghold (8) Swing (6) Weak (4) 05,00010,000

Registered voters  Mapped supporters

Ward turnout — 2017 vs 2022 vs 2027 target

68% 61% 75% 2017 actual 2022 actual 2027 target 0%100%
READ — 6 swing stations hold ≈9,600 registered voters but only 1,450 known supporters. That gap is where this race is won: send two extra mobilizer teams to stations 014 & 022 this week.
What the ground is saying Sample Ward A · Week 6 · Illustrative data
Surveys collected1,24062% of 2,000 target
Enumerators active18/246 slots to fill by Friday
Agentic clusters46est. reach 11,800 members
SMS delivered31,500segmented by village

Door-to-door surveys — daily collection, last 14 days

D1D5D9D14 3070110150

Top voter issues — share of mentions

Water
34%
Jobs
27%
Roads
15%
Health
12%
Security
7%
Other
5%
MESSAGE PIVOT — water beats jobs 34% to 27% and leads in 4 of 6 villages surveyed. Open every rally, SMS and doorstep script with the water plan — jobs comes second.
Every station, every hour Sample Ward A · E-Day 13:00 · Illustrative data
Agents reporting118/1246 unaccounted — reserves sent
Stations covered95%full cover expected by 09:00
Turnout at 13:0041%▲ +3 pts vs 2022 same hour
Form 34A received22/124tally starts 17:30

Hourly turnout vs 2022 — same stations, target pace

07:0009:0011:0013:0015:0017:00 04080

2022 actual  2027 live  Target pace

Stations behind target — 13:00

StationTurnoutGapAction
014 · Kiembeni33%−8 ptsBoda mobilizers
022 · Baptist35%−6 ptsChurch networks
031 · Beach Rd38%−4 ptsSMS + walk blast

Rule of the day: any station under 40% by 13:00 gets a mobilizer visit before 15:00.

LIVE READ — turnout is 3 points ahead of 2022 overall, but stations 014 and 022 are dragging. The data says exactly where the boda goes — not where the loudest supporter says.

How a campaign runs on it

From register to results, in five steps.

  1. 1

    Read the register

    We clean and segment the voter register for your ward — station by station, age, gender — and layer on 2017 and 2022 turnout per room.

  2. 2

    Rank the stations

    Every station is classified stronghold, swing or weak. The swing rooms become your campaign's centre of gravity.

  3. 3

    Survey the ground

    500 door-to-door interviews per ward, sampled across stations, capture who is voting, for whom, and which issue moves them.

  4. 4

    Report every week

    Your dashboard updates weekly: reach, supporter growth, top issues, gaps. You adjust message and money with evidence, not rumours.

  5. 5

    Run election day live

    Agents report per station, turnout is tracked hourly against target, and Form 34As are tallied against projections as they land.

What we do for you

Four jobs. One data team.

Delivered with the same care an independent scrutineer brings to a count — accurate, documented, and defensible after the result is announced.

01Collect

500 500 disaggregated surveys, sampled per station (Digital / Household). Issue polling on water, roads, jobs and health. A named captain and supporters list for every station, plus Agentic-cluster and agent databases with name, ID, phone and village.

02Analyze

Register cleaning and segmentation by station, demography, psychographics. Every station ranked stronghold, swing or weak. Turnout history per room from 2017 and 2022. Influence mapping: messaging, narrative tracing, trends.

03Report

A weekly campaign dashboard covering reach, issues and gaps. Segmented constituencies — Traditional, New, Issue-based voter. Media listening on Electronic, Socials & Locals in your area. Plain-language briefs for the candidate, not spreadsheets.

04Convert

Election-day agent deployment tracking, live. Hourly turnout monitoring per station against target pace, surge detection, and a last-hour push list that says exactly where to send people. Form 34A results versus target as they land.

The offer

The Swing-Station
Victory Pack

Most aspirants have a campaign budget but no data team. We become that team — ranking every polling station in your ward as stronghold, swing or weak, then building a ground game and data network on the rooms that decide the race.

  • Swing-station ranking for the whole ward
  • 500 door-to-door surveys, sampled per station
  • Station captain network and strategy map
  • Agent database + deployment plan
  • Weekly dashboard until election day
  • Election-day live operations view
Fixed price — per ward KSh 80,000 KSh 114 per voter · full electoral cycle

40 / 40 / 20 — deposit, mid-campaign, on delivery

Best window: 6–1 months before election day

Surveys + public records only — nothing illegal, nothing invented

One client per ward — your opponent can't buy the same map

Claim your ward

Feasibility — why this is buildable today

Built on public rails, not promises.

2026

IEBC station planning

Kenya is expanding from 46,229 polling stations in 2022 to 55,393 for 2027 — every one capped at 700 voters under the Elections Act. The unit we plan on is the unit the election runs on.

IEBCStations
Nation Africa ↗
2026

Station-level results are public

Each station produces one Form 34A. Historical results and turnout are published station by station — so strongholds, swings and weak rooms can be found in open records before a shilling is spent.

Form 34AOpen data
AllAfrica / IEBC ↗
Live

A working civic data ecosystem

Kenya already runs public election dashboards — voter registration, results analysis, reforms tracking. Our pack plugs campaign-grade field data into the same evidence culture, on your side of the race.

DashboardsKenya
ELOG Digital Portal ↗
Proven

Proven tools, no experiments

Doorstep collection runs on OSINT Toolbox / ODIN OPENDATA — the open-source stack used by observer missions and research teams across Africa. Electoral management design is a studied, documented discipline worldwide.

Field toolsMethods
Ushahidi — elections ↗

We are not affiliated with the IEBC or any observer mission. We work for campaigns, using lawful survey methods and public records only.

The close

Leave your opponent guessing. While you win.

One data team per ward, built station by station — first signed, first served. The serious window opens six months before election day, and it closes fast.

PACK Swing-Station Victory Pack — KSh 80,000 per ward

TERMS 40% deposit · 40% mid-campaign · 20% on delivery

START 12–9 months before election day for full value

Voters queueing outside a polling station in Kenya
Election day, polling station — where every data point ends.